Reply
|
Report abuse
Posted: 04-Nov-2009 18:45 by jdnorway
I expect the future of poker to be as follows:
Technology:
1 platform where you keep all your bankroll - kind of like the strip in vegas.
Poker rooms (PKR, Stars, FTP, etc) will host their own tournaments/rooms, with their own interface within that platform.
More life-like interface - probably virtual reality will have similar market share to 3D today - but card playing interface will be more important than avatar interface for the industry as a whole.
Mobile devices will be responsible for 20-40% of the traffic - today it's probably more like 1 %. This should be a dominating development in the next 3-5 years.
Market:
1 platform will open the field to more players, driving innovation in many different directions. Why? Because the cost of entry will be lower as players will not have to deposit in your room.
The move to one platform will be driven by one of the big card rooms (Everest? Titan?) going broke and players losing a lot of their money.
Specialised players within financial management and IT will operate the common platform, organised by the biggest card rooms.
Other games will be introduced, and sports gambling with your poker bankroll will be possible - especially player-to-player sports gambling and sports games (fantasy football and poker, two of the huge online successes, will grow closer)
The number of players will quadruple within 5 years and poker room revenues will more than double.
Legislation:
More countries will tax poker and other gambling winnings, and they will do it more creatively.
Move to one platform will simplify taxation - but lead to a new industry of secondary accounts in tax havens for depositing and withdrawing from gambling accounts.
The US will be opened up for online poker.
Norway will temporarily ban online poker - but it will be a huge failure and the legislation will be reversed within 3 years.