WSOP analysis: the Romanello laydown

By Nick Wealthall


comments Thursday 18 Jun 2009 12:00

Putting down a monster hand is never easy, let alone when you’re in the world's biggest tournament and getting great odds to call.

It’s early in the 2008 World Series of Poker Main Event. The blinds are at 50/100 and 'Welsh Wizard' Roberto Romanello is on the TV table with Mike ‘The Mouth’ Matusow and Greg Geller. Matusow limps with 9-9 and Roberto Romanello limps along behind him with J-J. The action passes round to Gregory Geller who raises to 600 with pocket Kings – a slightly oversized raise. Both players call and the three take the flop with 1,950 in the pot. The flop looks like a perfect cooler hand for Roberto with a super-wet As-Js-Kh.
 


Flopping set over set is, of course, every hold’em player’s worst nightmare and it’s very rare you should do anything other than go broke. In fact it’s one of the dangers of not raising with pocket pairs preflop early in a tournament.

The action is checked around to Geller who decides to slow-play his set of Kings. This decision has a huge effect on the following streets, as it defines his hand for his opponents and keeps the pot from ballooning. It is always suspicious to make a big preflop raise then check that kind of board. After he’s checked it’s likely his opponents will put Geller on a big hand like a set or A-K, or possibly a good preflop hand that hates this flop like Q-Q or T-T. It’s less likely he has junk, as with so many possible hands connecting with this flop he would usually bet here to represent something.

The turn is the Tc. This effectively kills the action, as any Queen now makes the Broadway straight, and all the players check. Romanello is probably cursing his luck at this point, having obviously planned to check-raise his set on the flop. He, like Geller, now feels he can’t bet this board.

Boat collision

The river completes the cooler, with the Td giving both Romanello and Geller strong full houses. Matusow understandably checks his underpair. Romanello can now finally bet his Jacks for 1,800. Geller, who has the nut boat with Aces full, quickly makes it 6,000. It’s 4,200 to call to win 9,750, giving Roberto odds of over 2-to-1 to call.

Romanello immediately recognises he has a difficult situation. What hands does Geller raise for value here? He definitely can’t raise any two-pair hand or the straight with the board paired. This leaves worse full houses – A-T and K-T – or better full houses – Aces full, Kings full – and quads. Geller’s range leans heavily towards the stronger hands he can have; he made a big raise preflop then checked the flop. It would be a very strange check with A-T or K-T but explainable with a big set. Added to this his body language and chat look strong – he initially says he won’t show his hand then changes his mind when he realises Romanello may fold.

Romanello puts it all together and makes an amazing laydown, which Matusow for one can't believe. When you analyse the hand it's easy to see how he was able to do this, but in the heat of battle getting 2-to-1 on the call there aren’t many players who could have made it.


 


Comments

soooo crazy,
i looked it for 10 times and i still cant see a tell on the flop or turn. maybe on the river when he's changing position. butt still only AA en KK and 10 10 ofcourse would have beat the Jacks.
insane fold!! i think it would be also great if he just called with the jacks full! iam 100% sure that 9998 of the 10000 would have raised geller here!

Comment by Jooster - 05/11/09 (Report)

sensational read

Comment by Naykon - 13/10/09 (Report)

I think Geller's eventual promise to show his hand
made the fold slightly easier for Romanello.
Promising to show your hand
is probably pretty bad for for your value,
curiosity happens to be a great money maker, isn't it?

Comment by Patoshik - 20/06/09 (Report)

Edited on: 20 Jun 2009 10:04

It waqs a well played hand , not sure if I could have mucke3d my hand but it shows that u have to look at the cards and ur opponent , and he did just that and realiazed that his hand was beat!

Comment by BRATTT - 19/06/09 (Report)

Interesting. Just goes to show that poker is evolutionary and having the discipline to fold good hands is what seperates the fish from the sharks!

Most would make the call (in fact even shove all-in) even when they feel they've been beat!

Comment by Boykie - 18/06/09 (Report)

It's an amazing fold and I posted the utube link the about 2 weeks ago on the forum..... If you watch the video Matusow's comments are classic!

Comment by marvinc023 - 18/06/09 (Report)

Yep super fold he went with his gut and sometimes thats hard to do.

Comment by TheSqueeze - 18/06/09 (Report)

pro class A+++++++

Comment by Secretly83 - 18/06/09 (Report)

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